World Cup 2026 Knockout Hub — Title Odds & Analysis
Daily double-Poisson Monte Carlo + AI match analysis
Championship Probability (model)
| Team | Win it all | Reach final | Next |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 100.0% | TBD | |
| Argentina | 100.0% | TBD |
Re-simulated daily (10,000 Monte Carlo runs) with latest results and odds; undetermined matchups use survivor approximation.（Updated 2026-07-24 18:30）
Golden Boot Race
| # | Player | Team | Goals | Win it all |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kylian Mbappé | France | 10 | — |
| 2 | Lionel Messi | Argentina | 8 | 0.0% |
| 3 | Jude Bellingham | England | 7 | — |
| 3 | Erling Haaland | Norway | 7 | — |
| 5 | Ousmane Dembélé | France | 6 | — |
| 5 | Harry Kane | England | 6 | — |
| 7 | Mikel Oyarzabal | Spain | 5 | 100.0% |
| 8 | Vinicius Junior | Brazil | 4 | — |
| 8 | Julián Quiñones | Mexico | 4 | — |
| 8 | Ismaïla Sarr | Senegal | 4 | — |
| 11 | Matheus Cunha | Brazil | 3 | — |
| 11 | Romelu Lukaku | Belgium | 3 | — |
Knockout Schedule
Final
| 07-20 03:00 | Spain vs Argentina | 0:0 | Analysis | Spain · Argentina |
Third place
| 07-19 05:00 | France vs England | 4:6 | Analysis | France · England |
Semi-finals
| 07-15 03:00 | France vs Spain | 0:2 | Analysis | France · Spain |
| 07-16 03:00 | England vs Argentina | 1:2 | Analysis | England · Argentina |
Quarter-finals
| 07-10 04:00 | France vs Morocco | 2:0 | Analysis | France · Morocco |
| 07-11 03:00 | Spain vs Belgium | 2:1 | Analysis | Spain · Belgium |
| 07-12 05:00 | Norway vs England | 1:1 | Analysis | Norway · England |
| 07-12 09:00 | Argentina vs Switzerland | 1:1 | Analysis | Argentina · Switzerland |
Round of 16
| 07-05 01:00 | Canada vs Morocco | 0:3 | Analysis | Canada · Morocco |
| 07-05 05:00 | Paraguay vs France | 0:1 | Analysis | Paraguay · France |
| 07-06 04:00 | Brazil vs Norway | 1:2 | Analysis | Brazil · Norway |
| 07-06 09:00 | Mexico vs England | 2:3 | Analysis | Mexico · England |
| 07-07 03:00 | Portugal vs Spain | 0:1 | Analysis | Portugal · Spain |
| 07-07 08:00 | United States vs Belgium | 1:4 | Analysis | United States · Belgium |
| 07-08 00:00 | Argentina vs Egypt | 3:2 | Analysis | Argentina · Egypt |
| 07-08 04:00 | Switzerland vs Colombia | 0:0 | Analysis | Switzerland · Colombia |